Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
COL
2 - 2
ARG
33%
27%
41%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
72%
17%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PER
0 - 2
ARG
22%
25%
53%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
5%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
VEN
0 - 0
URU
22%
24%
54%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
URU
0 - 2
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
COL
0 - 3
URU
46%
25%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ECU
4 - 2
URU
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |