Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
ARG
0 - 3
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1999 |
ARG
3 - 1
ECU
78%
15%
7%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
ARG
0 - 0
LTU
92%
6%
1%
|
95 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
USA
1 - 0
ARG
22%
26%
52%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 2
MEX
64%
22%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1999 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 3
URU
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
CHI
2 - 2
URU
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
CZE
1 - 0
URU
45%
26%
30%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |