Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
2 - 0
BGR
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1986 |
ITA
1 - 1
ARG
59%
21%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
3 - 1
KOR
75%
16%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
ISR
2 - 7
ARG
27%
29%
44%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
NOR
1 - 0
ARG
25%
28%
47%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1986 |
SCO
0 - 0
URU
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
DEN
6 - 1
URU
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
URU
1 - 1
BRD
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
IRL
1 - 1
URU
42%
29%
29%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1986 |
WAL
0 - 0
URU
48%
28%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |