Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
HUN
2 - 0
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
POL
1 - 2
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
SUN
0 - 1
ARG
55%
25%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1976 |
ARG
1 - 2
BRA
36%
26%
37%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
PAR
2 - 3
ARG
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
URU
2 - 2
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
URU
1 - 2
BRA
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
COL
3 - 0
URU
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1975 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |