Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1956 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
40%
23%
37%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1956 |
ARG
1 - 0
CSK
74%
15%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1956 |
ARG
0 - 0
BRA
62%
19%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1956 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
40%
23%
37%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1956 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1956 |
URU
2 - 1
CSK
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 2
URU
37%
22%
41%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1956 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1956 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |