Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
7 - 1
BOL
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
46%
22%
33%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1945 |
BRA
6 - 2
ARG
43%
22%
35%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1946 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
4 - 3
URU
60%
18%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
48%
21%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1946 |
URU
4 - 3
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |