Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1945 |
ARG
3 - 1
BRA
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1945 |
ARG
9 - 1
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
4 - 2
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
4 - 0
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
36%
22%
43%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1945 |
URU
2 - 0
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 0
URU
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
URU
7 - 0
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1945 |
URU
5 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |