Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
68%
18%
15%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1941 |
PER
0 - 3
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1940 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
3 - 4
URU
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |