Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
1 - 0
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
6 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1936 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHI
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1936 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
URU
0 - 3
CHI
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1937 |
URU
4 - 2
PER
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
38%
23%
40%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |