Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
ARG
4 - 1
PER
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1934 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
SWE
3 - 2
ARG
61%
19%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1933 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1935 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1934 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1933 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
52%
23%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |