Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
6 - 1
USA
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
6 - 3
MEX
61%
20%
18%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 0
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1930 |
URU
6 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 28 | 55 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1930 |
URU
4 - 0
ROU
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1930 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
71%
17%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |