Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1927 |
ARG
7 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1927 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1927 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
50%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
0 - 2
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1927 |
URU
9 - 0
BOL
73%
16%
12%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1927 |
URU
4 - 0
PER
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1927 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1927 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1926 |
URU
6 - 1
PAR
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |