Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1927 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
50%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
0 - 2
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
8 - 0
PAR
65%
19%
15%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
5 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1927 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1926 |
URU
6 - 1
PAR
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1926 |
URU
6 - 0
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
0 - 2
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 3
URU
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |