Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1923 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1923 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1923 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1923 |
ARG
0 - 2
PAR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1922 |
ARG
2 - 2
URU
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1923 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1923 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1922 |
ARG
2 - 2
URU
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1922 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1922 |
SMP
4 - 4
URU
13%
19%
68%
|
78 | 9 | 69 | 0 |