Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1922 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1922 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
54%
21%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1922 |
ARG
3 - 2
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1922 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1922 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1922 |
SMP
4 - 4
URU
13%
19%
68%
|
79 | 10 | 69 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1922 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
54%
21%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1922 |
ARG
3 - 2
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |