Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1920 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1919 |
URU
4 - 2
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1919 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1919 |
ARG
1 - 2
URU
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1920 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1919 |
URU
4 - 2
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1919 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1919 |
ARG
1 - 2
URU
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |