Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1919 |
ARG
1 - 2
URU
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1919 |
URU
4 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 3
ARG
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1919 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1919 |
ARG
1 - 2
URU
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1919 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1919 |
URU
4 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1919 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1919 |
URU
2 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |