Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1918 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1918 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1918 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1918 |
URU
3 - 1
ARG
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1918 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
55%
22%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1918 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1918 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1918 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1918 |
URU
3 - 1
ARG
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1918 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |