Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1915 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1915 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1914 |
ARG
3 - 0
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1914 |
URU
3 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1914 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1915 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1915 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1914 |
ARG
3 - 0
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1914 |
URU
3 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1914 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |