Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1914 |
URU
3 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1913 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1913 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1913 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1913 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
48%
23%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1914 |
URU
3 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1913 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1913 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1913 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
65%
19%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1913 |
URU
5 - 0
ROS
93%
5%
2%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |