Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1913 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
48%
23%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1913 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1913 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1913 |
ARG
3 - 3
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1913 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1913 |
URU
5 - 0
ROS
93%
5%
2%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1913 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1913 |
URU
2 - 1
PAU
94%
5%
2%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1913 |
URU
4 - 2
PAU
94%
5%
2%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1913 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |