Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
20%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1912 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1912 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1912 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1911 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1912 |
SCO
1 - 5
URU
3%
13%
84%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1912 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 1912 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1912 |
URU
0 - 3
SWI
81%
11%
7%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 1912 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |