Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1911 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1911 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1911 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
55%
21%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1911 |
ARG
0 - 2
URU
68%
17%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1911 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
51%
22%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1911 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1911 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1911 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
55%
21%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1911 |
ARG
0 - 2
URU
68%
17%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |