Argentina vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1903 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1902 |
URU
0 - 6
ARG
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1904 |
URU
1 - 8
SOU
38%
26%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1904 |
URU
0 - 1
ALU
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1903 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1902 |
URU
0 - 6
ARG
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |