Argentina vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARG
29%
25%
46%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1965 |
ARG
4 - 1
BOL
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1965 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARG
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1965 |
ARG
3 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1965 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
33%
25%
43%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
BRA
2 - 2
SUN
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
WAL
2 - 1
SUN
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
DEN
1 - 3
SUN
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
GRC
1 - 4
SUN
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
SUN
0 - 0
YUG
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |