Argentina vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1982 |
ARG
2 - 1
BGR
80%
15%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
51%
26%
23%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRD
37%
26%
37%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1982 |
ARG
0 - 0
CSK
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
ARG
1 - 1
CSK
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1982 |
ROU
3 - 1
CYP
94%
4%
2%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
BGR
1 - 2
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
BEL
4 - 1
ROU
59%
25%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
BGR
1 - 2
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
SUI
0 - 0
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |