Argentina vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
BGR
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1978 |
PER
1 - 3
ARG
30%
27%
43%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
PAR
2 - 0
ARG
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
ARG
2 - 1
PAR
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
TUR
1 - 1
ROU
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ROU
4 - 6
YUG
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 0
ROU
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
ROU
6 - 1
GRC
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1977 |
IRN
0 - 0
ROU
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |