Argentina vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1963 |
ARG
2 - 3
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 4
ARG
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1963 |
BRA
5 - 2
ARG
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
BRA
2 - 3
ARG
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
POR
3 - 4
ENG
20%
20%
60%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 2
POR
67%
18%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
SUI
2 - 3
POR
62%
19%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
18%
21%
62%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1963 |
BGR
1 - 0
POR
60%
19%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |