Argentina vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1980 |
ARG
2 - 0
BGR
80%
15%
5%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1980 |
ARG
2 - 2
CHI
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1980 |
AUT
1 - 5
ARG
42%
27%
31%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1980 |
IRL
0 - 1
ARG
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1980 |
ENG
3 - 1
ARG
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
POL
1 - 1
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1980 |
COL
1 - 4
POL
20%
26%
54%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1980 |
BOL
0 - 1
POL
23%
26%
51%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1980 |
BRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1980 |
POL
3 - 0
IRQ
78%
16%
6%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |