Argentina vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
75%
16%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARG
29%
25%
46%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1965 |
ARG
4 - 1
BOL
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1965 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARG
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1965 |
ARG
3 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 1
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
4 - 1
POL
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
36%
24%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1966 |
POL
1 - 1
HUN
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 1
POL
87%
8%
4%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |