Argentina vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
TUN
1 - 2
ARG
43%
23%
33%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 2
ARG
49%
22%
29%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1960 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1960 |
BRA
5 - 1
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 1
POL
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
POL
6 - 1
TUN
73%
14%
13%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1960 |
POL
4 - 0
BGR
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1960 |
SUN
7 - 1
POL
51%
20%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 May. 1960 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |