Argentina vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
22%
26%
53%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
HUN
1 - 2
ARG
16%
24%
60%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2005 |
BRA
4 - 1
ARG
51%
22%
27%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARG
18%
21%
61%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
ARG
2 - 2
GER
59%
21%
20%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
VEN
4 - 1
PER
39%
28%
33%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
PER
0 - 0
URU
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
COL
5 - 0
PER
62%
24%
15%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
UAE
0 - 0
PER
31%
29%
40%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |