Argentina vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1956 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARG
58%
20%
22%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1956 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
87%
9%
5%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1956 |
CHI
4 - 3
PER
67%
17%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1956 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1956 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |