Argentina vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
17%
17%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
50%
21%
29%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
44%
22%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
URU
3 - 0
PER
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1942 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |