Argentina vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
12 - 0
ECU
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
64%
18%
17%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
61%
19%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
47%
22%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1941 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
62%
19%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |