Argentina vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1941 |
PER
0 - 3
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1941 |
CHI
2 - 5
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
43%
22%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1941 |
PER
0 - 3
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |