Argentina vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
6 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1936 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHI
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1936 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1935 |
ARG
3 - 0
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1937 |
URU
4 - 2
PER
68%
17%
15%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
BRA
3 - 2
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
PER
4 - 2
AUT
29%
21%
50%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 1936 |
PER
7 - 3
FIN
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1935 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |