Argentina vs Paraguay analysis

Argentina Paraguay
93 ELO 88
-6.1% Tilt 4.5%
11º General ELO ranking 229º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65.5%
Argentina
21.1%
Draw
13.3%
Paraguay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
Argentina
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.3%
Win probability
Paraguay
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Argentina
+6%
-4%
Paraguay

ELO progression

Argentina
Paraguay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Argentina
Argentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 1997
CHI
Chile
0 - 2
Argentina
ARG
38%
26%
36%
93 88 5 0
11 Jun. 1997
ARG
Argentina
0 - 0
Ecuador
ECU
75%
17%
8%
93 83 10 0
08 Jun. 1997
ARG
Argentina
2 - 0
Peru
PER
76%
17%
7%
93 81 12 0
30 Apr. 1997
ARG
Argentina
2 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
74%
18%
8%
93 83 10 0
02 Apr. 1997
BOL
Bolivia
2 - 1
Argentina
ARG
21%
26%
53%
93 80 13 0

Matches

Paraguay
Paraguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 1997
PAR
Paraguay
0 - 2
Ecuador
ECU
63%
23%
14%
89 83 6 0
11 Jun. 1997
PAR
Paraguay
1 - 0
Chile
CHI
46%
27%
27%
89 88 1 0
04 Jun. 1997
USA
USA
0 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
40%
27%
33%
88 83 5 +1
30 Apr. 1997
PAR
Paraguay
3 - 1
Uruguay
URU
42%
28%
30%
88 89 1 0
02 Apr. 1997
PAR
Paraguay
2 - 1
Colombia
COL
42%
30%
28%
88 90 2 0
X