Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1995 |
ARG
1 - 0
PER
76%
17%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
RSA
1 - 1
ARG
9%
20%
71%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1995 |
ARG
4 - 1
BGR
62%
23%
15%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1995 |
DEN
2 - 0
ARG
50%
25%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1995 |
NGA
0 - 0
ARG
26%
27%
47%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1995 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
34%
29%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
33%
31%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 1
COL
49%
29%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |