Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1989 |
ARG
0 - 2
URU
58%
25%
17%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1989 |
ARG
0 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1989 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1989 |
ARG
0 - 0
ECU
75%
18%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
79%
15%
7%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 3
URU
50%
27%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1989 |
PAR
3 - 0
VEN
72%
19%
9%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1989 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
45%
28%
27%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |