Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1985 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
69%
19%
11%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
23%
29%
48%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1984 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
69%
20%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1984 |
ARG
1 - 2
IRQ
75%
18%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1984 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARG
31%
29%
40%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
23%
29%
48%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 2
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
COL
1 - 0
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 3
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
39%
31%
30%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |