Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
20%
26%
54%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1983 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 2
ARG
24%
27%
50%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
2 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1983 |
URU
3 - 0
PAR
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1983 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
45%
29%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1982 |
ANT
1 - 0
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
CHI
3 - 0
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |