Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BOL
0 - 1
ARG
18%
24%
58%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
ARG
4 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1973 |
ARG
3 - 1
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1973 |
CHI
3 - 1
ARG
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
PAR
4 - 0
BOL
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
28%
23%
49%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |