Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 0
ARG
77%
13%
10%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1966 |
ARG
2 - 0
SUI
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
0 - 0
ARG
62%
19%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
ARG
2 - 1
ESP
68%
18%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1966 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
ECU
2 - 2
PAR
42%
22%
36%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
PAR
2 - 2
URU
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
MEX
7 - 0
PAR
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |