Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 4
ARG
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1963 |
BRA
5 - 2
ARG
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
BRA
2 - 3
ARG
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
3 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 4
ARG
26%
23%
51%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
4 - 1
PER
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 0
PAR
56%
20%
25%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 2
COL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |