Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1961 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARG
33%
24%
43%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1961 |
CSK
3 - 3
ARG
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1961 |
ITA
4 - 1
ARG
45%
23%
31%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
POR
0 - 2
ARG
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1961 |
BRA
3 - 2
PAR
88%
9%
4%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARG
21%
22%
58%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 3
BRA
18%
20%
62%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 2
BRA
18%
20%
62%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1960 |
CHI
3 - 1
PAR
59%
19%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |