Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
79%
12%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
86%
9%
5%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 3
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1955 |
PER
1 - 1
PAR
73%
14%
12%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |