Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
ITA
2 - 0
ARG
52%
21%
27%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
POR
1 - 3
ARG
31%
23%
47%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1953 |
ARG
1 - 0
ESP
72%
16%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
ARG
0 - 0
ENG
57%
20%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
POR
1 - 3
ARG
32%
23%
46%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
46%
21%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
URU
1 - 4
PAR
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BRA
4 - 1
PAR
78%
13%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
38%
22%
40%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
CHI
1 - 3
PAR
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |