Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
17%
17%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
7 - 1
BOL
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1946 |
HND
10 - 0
PAR
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
PAN
0 - 2
PAR
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1946 |
GTM
7 - 0
PAR
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 1946 |
SLV
7 - 2
PAR
55%
20%
25%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
CRC
7 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |