Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
68%
18%
15%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1941 |
PER
0 - 3
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 0
PAR
63%
19%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PAR
5 - 1
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
0 - 1
PER
56%
21%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |